Wednesday, March 7, 2012

The view from the Big 12 Tournament

My seat moves this week from Section 10 in Allen Fieldhouse to a plush, arena perch in the Sprint Center in downtown Kansas City.  Stay tuned here for the latest, not only from the Big 12 event but from around the world of college hoops as we brace for Selection Sunday this weekend.

- Depth is overrated in the NCAA tournament where the in-game commercial breaks stretch an extra minute and teams have a rest day in between games.  Depth, in conference tournaments, is typically a "must have" for any team with a legitimate shot at the title.  For example, in the Big 12, the likely winner will come from the six top seeds with the two finalists playing three games over three days.  Contenders with depth are Kansas State, who has eight players who  average more than 17.5 minutes per game, and Baylor, who has eight guys who played more than 16 minutes per game and two who averaged over 11 minutes per game.  Iowa State has six guys with over 20 minutes per game as does Kansas.  Missouri has six with over 25 minutes per game plus Steve Moore, who averages 16 minutes a game.

- Who could be the break-out player of the tournament?  Pierre Jackson of Baylor is a guy who wants the ball in his hands for the big shot--he shot .453 from three-point land and has a .829 free throw shooting percentage.  Jackson could be an "x" factor for the Bears.

- Day one predictions:  Oklahoma by six over Texas A&M in game one; Oklahoma State by 12, in the late game, against Texas Tech.


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