Friday, October 21, 2011

Week eight: College football predictions

Last week: 7-3
Season to date: 62-20 (.756)

Kansas State over Kansas. Let's see if you can follow this flawed logic--every week I've picked against Kansas State and what's their current record? Why, 6-0! So, why not pick them over Kansas in hopes that my team can pull off the upset and, at least momentarily, pop KSU's bubble? Kansas hung with Oklahoma, at least for a half, last weekend and faces yet another undefeated opponent in this season which has already included Georgia Tech, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State and OU. Kansas State just finds a way to win each week by playing Bill Snyder's brand of fundamentally sound, don't-turn-the-ball-over football. This is a huge game for KU coach Turner Gill. A win Saturday cements another year for his tenure, a close loss likely does the same, but a three touchdown or worse defeat could likely be the impetus for his firing. KSU by eight.

Oklahoma State over Missouri. Oklahoma State is 4th in the BCS standings and features perhaps the most exciting offense in the country. Missouri's no slouch on the offensive side of the ball but the tale of this game will be whether MU can at least slow OSU and hold them to field goals versus touchdowns each time the Cowboys touch the ball. After this week, OSU faces Baylor and Kansas State, both at home, and goes on the road to Texas Tech and Iowa State. This is by far the Cowboys' toughest test before the Bedlam game at home against OU on December 3. I think this one will be tight--OSU by nine in Columbia.

Oklahoma over Texas Tech. OU will take their solid second half from last week as momentum into this home game against Tech. Oklahoma by 21.

Texas A&M over Iowa State. This game features two teams headed opposite directions--A&M beat Baylor in surprisingly easy fashion last week and Iowa State lost big to Missouri for their third straight loss. The Aggies will roll by 18.

Notre Dame over USC. Remember when this game was "the game" of the weekend when these two traditional powers faced off? No more. Neither team is ranked and the Lane Kiffin era in Los Angeles is still working to regain past glory. Notre Dame by 10 in South Bend.

Stanford over Washington. How about this Stanford team and Oliver Luck? They own the nation's longest winning streak--15--and while Luck gets the publicity, the defense is quietly holding opponents to 11.2 points per game. Stanford by 17 at home.

Nebraska over Minnesota. When's the last time Minnesota has been relevant in football? NU by 18.

Clemson over North Carolina. Another undeafeated team--Clemson--will extend that streak in Death Valley over UNC. Let's see if Clemson's D can improve this week in stopping the run as they gave up 291 rushing yards to Maryland last week. Clemson by 12.

LSU over Auburn. Speaking of Death Valley, this game takes place at the "other" Death Valley in Baton Rouge. This game will be close for a half then the Tigers' superior talent will make it a two touchdown win for the number one team in the country.

Game of the week--Wisconsin over Michigan State. Russell Wilson, Wisconsin's QB, is the real deal and is making a Heisman Trophy run. Michigan State is fresh off a big win over arch-rival Michigan and did it by holding the Wolverine's Dennard Robinson to 42 yards rushing and 123 passing. Wiscy by eight.

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