Friday, October 14, 2011

Week seven: College football predictions

Last week: 9-1
Season record: 55-17 (.763)

Oklahoma over Kansas. The line for this game is 34. Take Oklahoma and the points as this will be a replay of Kansas' blowout loss last weekend at Oklahoma State--it's just a question of when Bob Stoops pulls his starters, and given his need for BCS points, don't expect that to happen before the end of the third quarter. For Kansas, every game is about "progress," as in, is there any? Next week, the Jayhawks face Kansas State at home. If KU loses that game in ugly fashion, a la 2010, then the howls for Turner Gill's job will escalate to a level that can't be ignored. OU by 38.

Missouri over Iowa State. MU is 2-3 in the conference so there's no better antidote than getting Iowa State at home. And, it's Homecoming, that event which Missouri claims it invented (but so does Baylor and so does Illinois.) MU should roll in this one yet fans will be watching to see if the Tigers can score in the third quarter--a 15 minute period where the offense has generated all of 16 points this year. Win convincingly and MU could carry some momentum into next week against Oklahoma State, also in Columbia. Tigers by 17.

Texas Tech over Kansas State. I know, I know--I keep picking against Kansas State each week and all they've done is go undefeated. So, for the benefit of my K-State friends, I'm picking against the Wildcats again this week. The story of the 'Cats season has been the turnaround of their defense and that will be a key tomorrow--can KSU force Tech turnovers? Texas Tech by four.

Oklahoma State over Texas. Look, Texas just isn't that good. They lost badly against Oklahoma last week and will face an even higher-powered offense this week. OSU by 14.

Texas A&M over Baylor. The game is at Kyle Field thus "advantage A&M." However, if the Aggies cannot fix their pass defense this game could easily swing in Baylor's favor. Texas A&M by a touchdown.

Auburn over Florida. Florida is favored but Auburn's playing at home. War Eagle--Tigers by two.

Georgia Tech over Virginia. The Ramblin' Wreck is off to its best start in 45 years. And, these next two weeks are critical--"trap" games at Charlottesville tomorrow and at Miami next week. Georgia Tech then returns home to face Clemson and Virginia Tech. Tech by 10.

Illinois over Ohio State. Illinois has lost nine straight to Ohio State at home. That should change tomorrow as the Illini look to stay undefeated. Kansas Citian and Rockhurst High alum Nathan Scheelhaase is having a great year for Illinois. Illini by six.

Michigan State over Michigan. Michigan State has a defense which stopped Denard Robinson last year. Let's see if they can do it again as the winner here could be the favorite in the division. Michigan State by three.

Game of the week - Virginia Tech over Wake Forest. Something's in the water in the ACC this year--Georgia Tech is off to its best start in 45 years and Wake Forest is off to its best start ever. Wake Forest is tied with Clemson in the Atlantic Division but is going up against a defense which forces turnover and QB sacks. The Hokies will prevail, on the road, by two.

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