Friday, October 7, 2011

Week six: College football predictions

Last week's record: 6-6
Season to date: 46-16 (.742)

Conference play is in full swing and the Big 12 slate is highlighted by the Red River Rivalry--Texas versus Oklahoma in Dallas. Let's take a look at that and other key match-ups for tomorrow.

Oklahoma State over Kansas. It's conventional wisdom to think that this game will be ugly--the conference's best offense against the Big 12's worst defense. Yet, KU showed improvement last week in their loss to Texas Tech and, offensively, the Jayhawks have a ground game which can potentially maintain possession and keep Branden Weeden and company off of the field. Don't get me wrong, this game will still be a blow-out but I suspect it'll be like last week where it was close for a half before Tech pulled away. OSU by 22.

Missouri over Kansas State. Arthur Brown of KSU is contending for defensive player of the year in the conference but the 'Cats have not yet played a balanced offense of Missouri's caliber. Kansas State is rolling in confidence while Missouri desperately needs this game and next (Iowa State) before heading into the teeth of their schedule--Oklahoma State, at Texas A&M, at Baylor, and Texas. MU by three in a hard-fought road win.

Oklahoma over Texas. Two undefeated teams; two ranked teams. OU, at #1 in the coaches poll, takes on #11 Texas in the marquee game of the day in the Big 12. However, this game won't live up to the hype as Texas is over-ranked and OU's offense is loaded with Landry Jones winging it to Ryan Broyles and Kenny Sills. It'll still be fun as this is college football at its best--the Texas State Fair, one of the best rivalries in the game, and ESPN's College GameDay crew on the scene. OU by 10.

Texas A&M over Texas Tech. Do you think A&M will get a tough reception in Lubbock on Saturday night? The Aggies are leaving for the SEC and Tech's fans are notoriously, shall we see, an uninviting group. The Red Raiders are 4-0 but have feasted on a schedule of Texas State, Nevada, New Mexico and Kansas--not exactly murderer's row. A&M is 2-2 after last week's four point loss to Arkansas. This is rebound week for Texas A&M--Aggies by eight.

Baylor over Iowa State. Baylor lost last week in a statement game--a road win against a Big 12 opponent. The Bears could not put Kansas State away and Robert Griffin III threw a costly interception late in the game. The Bears will take their frustrations out on ISU with a 18 point road win.

Virginia Tech over Miami. The Hokies were humbled by Clemson. They'll rebound against the "U" with a 10 point home win.

Nebraska over Ohio State. Last week was embarrassing for the Huskers--after much hype with their entrance into the Big Ten, NU was shredded by Wisconsin in Madison. This week Ohio State comes to Lincoln, but this isn't your father's Buckeye team. Nebraska will win easily by 13.

Arkansas over Auburn. Auburn came back last week to beat South Carolina and now is a surprising 4-1. Better not look ahead--here comes #10 Arkansas followed by games against Florida and LSU. Razorbacks by 10 at home.

Arizona State over Utah. Pac 12 South leader ASU will manhandle first-time Utah QB starter Jon Hays. The Sun Devils win on the road by 10.

Game of the week - LSU over Florida. How'd you like to be Florida? Last week the Gators faced Alabama and this week they get LSU, in Death Valley. Look for LSU to roll by 14.

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